ATP Geneva & Lyon – Day 5

THE French Open is fast approaching and we’re making sure we’re primed for a big fortnight ahead.

Here’s our best bets for tonight’s ATP action:

Mischa Zverev v Kei Nishikori

Nishikori will look to halt Micha Zverev’s impressive run in Geneva in tonight’s semi-final.

After battling past Robin Haase and John Isner, Zverev looked at arguably his best when disposing of in form American Steve Johnson.

His serve-volley methods are clearly better suited to the upcoming grass court and there’s no hiding his struggles prior to this tournament in Geneva.

Nishikori was forced to fight from a set down again Kevin Anderson last night but once again showed his fighting spirit.

His composure on the court is as good as anyone else on tour and it’s clear he’ll once again have the psychological edge here.

We can only see one winner in this one and it seems our numbers show a similar trend with Nishikori likely to overpower his German opposite.

Prediction: Nishikori -4.5 @ $1.90

Stan Wawrinka v Andrey Kuznetsov

Unlike his opposite, Wawrinka has had a very reasonable run in his home country.

His limited time on court should see him fresh and ready to make light work of his lesser known opponent.

Aside from an impressive straight sets win over Albert Ramos-Vinolas, Kuznetsov hasn’t had to face anyone of note this tournament.

Prior to this event in Geneva he failed to make it to a semi-final and his good run is almost certain to come to an end in this one.

While Wawrinka hasn’t necessarily been at his best this clay court season he is slowly finding his groove before next week’s Open.

Expect the Swiss star to put on a show in his home country as he powers into the final on Saturday night.

Prediction: Wawrinka -3.5 @ $1.90

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga

Tsonga turned in his most impressive performance of 2017 when he comfortably dealt with Karen Khachanov.

The Frenchman often performs at his best when he’s in his home country and this should be no different.

Basilashvili has played some of his best tennis as well in Lyon but hasn’t faced someone with the power Tsonga possesses.

It’s also worth noting that the Georgian only managed a single win on clay this year prior to this event and that came against Japanese qualifier Taro Daniel.

Our model has Tsonga winning this one in straight sets and we’ll back the unders in what should be a straightforward result for the home crowd favourite.

Prediction: Under 21.5 @ $1.90

Milos Raonic v Tomas Berdych

This is definitely the most intriguing match of the night!

Berdych will be hoping to avenge defeat to the Canadian in Rome last week but has continuously struggled to deal with Raonic in the past.

The 5-2 hd2hd record can be misleading giving one of those wins for Berdych came via retirement and the other was back in 2013.

Raonic seems to be just a step short of securing himself a grand slam and he should once again prove too much for his Czech opponent here.

While neither one of them can claim clay as their preferred surface it’s clear the Canadian is better suited to the dirt.

Berdych struggles to deal with big servers and Raonic is as good as they get with his service game.

Our model once again has him coming out in straight sets and we’ll back him to do just that at a very good price.

Prediction: Raonic 2-0 @ $2.46

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