Chicago Cubs – LA Dodgers: NLCS Game 3

THE Cubs offence needs to get going if they’re to climb out this 2-0 hole – facing Yu Darvish probably isn’t the helping hand they need though.

Darvish was impressive in his lone playoff start this season, allowing just one run and two hits in his five innings against the Diamondbacks.

In his last four outings, the right-hander has struck out 28 while allowing just two earned runs – not great for a Cubs team desperate to get their hitters going.

Chicago managed just seven hits in the opening two games of this series, scoring three runs and struggling to get their offence rolling.

Aside from a breakout Game 5 win against the Nationals we haven’t seen much from this Cubs offence in the postseason.

The team is averaging just 2.8 runs scored per game this off-season, a figure that is drastically worse without that nine-run win against the Nats. Had it not been for that epic hit-out they’d be averaging just 1.8 runs per game this postseason.

The Dodgers pitchers have certainly stepped up these playoffs and things are really clicking for the them at the moment.

The total runs for this game seems relatively high given how well both Darvish and Kyle Hendricks have pitched in their recent outings.

Hendricks has led his team to victory in both his postseason appearances, and is 2-1 against the Dodgers in his career – owning a 3.15 ERA in that time.

We’re projecting this one to go Under the total runs margin at least 67% of the time, but also have a strong lean on the team totals here.

With Chicago’s offence clearly in a rut and Darvish pitching some of his best numbers in recent outings we love the value on the Cubs team total going Under 3.5 runs. They’ve managed to eclipse that total just once all postseason and our numbers have them scoring 2.7 runs here.

We’ll take a nice double-play here in what should be a very low-scoring game.

Tip: Under 8.5 runs @ $1.90 & Chicago Cubs tt u/3.5 runs @ $2.22 (0.5 units)

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