College Football: Kent State @ Western Michigan

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While we did say we would become a paid service after delivering +10 units on college football we owe a big thank you to our followers for helping us grow in such a short space of time.

That being said, let’s move onto today’s tip.

Western Michigan will look to push towards bowl eligibility when they play host to lowly ranked Kent State.

The Broncos were disappointing in their loss to rivals Central Michigan last week but will be buoyed by the prospect of facing a defence that has allowed a combined 92 points in its last two games.

These sides squared off a year ago when Western Michigan was able to run out 37-21 winners – the concern for Kent State is that this Broncos offence is considerably better, while the Golden Flashes defence has taken a backwards step.

It’ll be interesting to see how Western Michigan responds to a crushing loss on their home turf, but what was encouraging was the fact they were able to put up 28 points in three quarters despite the horrible conditions.

The only concern was that they were unable to score a single point in the final term, with star RB Jarvion Franklin making little to impact when they needed him. That being said, he did still manage to run for 228 yards on just 26 carries.

Kent State’s run defence has been a non-factor for much of the year and the team currently allows an average of 227.8 yards per game on the ground – a bad recipe when facing a team that averages 244.4 yards per game rushing.

There’s every chance that Western Michigan’s offence send this Over the points total on their own, but they will no doubt help that along with their mixed play on defence.

The Broncos currently allow an average of 5.7 yards per possession against them and give up 388.0 yards per game. The good news for that defence is that they’ll face the lowest scoring offence in the country (10.7 points per game) and the second lowest total offence in the nation (253.4 yards per game).

That being said, the vulnerable play of Broncos QB Reece Goddard last week will certainly give Kent State’s defence a chance at turning the ball over in good field position. Our data has them scoring more than their season average tomorrow and that will push this one comfortably over the points total.

Western Michigan has seen 10 of the last 12 home games go Over the points total, with the team going 2-0 on the Overs when the total was set at less than 50 points.

Tip: Over 46.0 points @ $1.90 (UBet)

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