SOUTH FLORIDA only have themselves to blame for not being a perfect 8-0 on the season, but that doesn’t mean they’ll lay off.
Charlie Strong has done a tremendous job with this program and you can be sure he’ll make sure his troops aren’t distracted by the upcoming showdown with UCF next week.
A game against a struggling Tulsa team should make for one-way traffic in this one and it’s hard to see how they don’t over this line – regardless of the size.
Bulls QB Quinton Flowers has been terrific this season – his 1,955 passing yards and 15 touchdowns, to go along with 751 rushing yards and nine touchdowns are some of the best numbers floating around the college ranks this season.
His ability to be a genuine dual-threat in the pocket has made this offence incredibly tough to slow down and he’ll enjoy running at this Tulsa defence that ranks 127th in the nation against the run – allowing 270.8 rushing yards per game.
The Golden Hurricanes rely almost entirely on their ground game, with D’Angelo Brewer recording 1,099 rushing yards this season, enough to rank second in the AAC – the team ranks 15th in the nation in rushing yards per game.
The bad news for the visitors is that USF have been terrific dealing with opponent’s ground games this season and are top the AAC in rushing defence. They allow just 118.2 yards per game on the ground and have yet to allow an opponent to run for over 100 yards against them – something that Brewer has become accustomed to doing.
On the other side of the ball, there is no foreseeable way that the Golden Hurricanes can or will slow down this Bulls offence.
Strong’s side currently average 502.3 yards per game on offence – split almost evenly between passing (225.7) and rushing (276.7) – and are hosting a defence that allows a whopping 547.5 yards per game against them.
Tulsa have allowed 99 points in their last three games (all losses) and none of those offences possessed the potency that this USF team has across the field.
USF are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games against teams with a losing record, and have covered their last four straight games after coming off a bye week. Our projections show the home team winning by at least four TD’s making the line a strong play here.
Tip: USF Bulls -22.0 @ $1.92 (Bet365)