Diamondbacks – Rockies: NL Wildcard Game

THE Diamondbacks will look to continue their strong form against a team that literally stumbled its way into the playoffs.

Colorado were a 97% chance of making the playoffs before a horrible home stretch saw them almost throw it all away.

The Rockies however will need to put it all past them if they’re to have any chance against this Arizona line up, and they’ll need star pitcher Jon Gray to be at his best for this one as well.

Gray beat the Diamondbacks twice in three starts this year, with both those wins coming at Chase Field.

That being said the advantage sits firmly with the home side in this one as they lean on their ace pitcher Zack Greinke to once again deliver at the mound.

Greinke went a staggering 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA at home this season, and is 2-1 with a 3.41 ERA in his five starts against the Rockies this year.

Arizona has won nine of the past 13 meetings between the two sides – outscoring their opponents 101-69 in the process.

Greinke has the experience and form to stifle what has been a struggling Rockies offence of late and it’s hard to imagine the home side slipping up against a team that barely scraped through.

We saw the impact the playoffs can have on a pitcher who hasn’t been here before (we’re looking at you, Mr Severino) and with Gray yet to taste the postseason – and the Rockies being absent from the playoffs since 2009 – everything is pointing toward a comfortable home win here.

Our model is projecting a combined 7.1 runs being score giving us a good lean on the Unders in this one, and if both pitchers are in-form it should be a comfortable hit for punters.

The last series between these two teams saw three of the four games go Under the run total, with the Rockies averaging just 2.75 runs per game that series which was also played at Chase Field.

Tip: Under 8.5 runs @ $1.98

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