NBA best bets: Thursday, 7 December

A disappointing showing yesterday took us back slightly but we’re determined to get back on track.

Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers

If there’s one thing we know about this game it’s that it will be a high-tempo game throughout.

The Pacers will push the ball up the court wherever possible at home, and that will give the Bulls no option but to match them.

Chicago has no problem playing up-tempo this season, with young duo Laurri Markkanen and Kris Dunn giving the franchise something to smile about in an otherwise dismal season.

Dunn has made a huge impact since returning from injury and the point guards play has transformed the way the Bulls play.

Given the style of play on display today expect Dunn to have the rock in his hand a lot, with his playmaking set to be on full display.

In his last four straight games, Dunn is stayed over 4.5 assists.

The market best price is on the 5.0 and while we’d prefer the 4.5 hook at better odds (only $1.67) we feel no extra risk in taking the 5.0 at the expense of a push.

He’s only gone under this number in two of his last six road games, and they came against a GSW and Utah team that boast far better defensive efficiency.

Tip: Kris Dunn o/5.0 assists @ $1.88 (CrownBet)

Dallas Mavericks @ Boston Celtics

The Celtics continue to impress with each passing game and will look to close off their five-game homestand with another W.

The Mavs meanwhile have shown significant improvement in recent weeks as Rick Carlisle’s men show promising signs on an otherwise lost season.

The emergence of rookie sensations Dennis Smith Jr has been fun to watch and while his high-flying antics have excited almost everyone he still hasn’t developed into the natural point guard needed in this league.

Smith averages 4.2 assists per game this regular season, but that number has dropped significantly recently with the improved playmaking from veteran JJ Barea.

Carlisle understands the need to ease the burden on his rookie and he’s given him more of a licence to attack the basket and get buckets as opposed to trying to run the offence.

In his last 10 games he’s only gone Over his average, and Over the 4.0 total, once.

Boston remain the best defensive team in the league and it’s hard to see him making too many plays for teammates against this well-piled defensive machine.

We love that we can get the 4.0 number and advise getting on early before it drops to 3.5 universally.

Tip: Dennis Smith Jr u/4.0 assists @ $1.74 (CrownBet) (1.5 units)

Leave a Reply