NBA best bets: Wednesday, 8 November

A slight hiccup today put us on the back foot this week but as always we will bounce back.

Punting involves having a short memory, during both the good times and the bad, so it’s important to accept the losses and focus harder on making the right plays moving forward.

With the being said, here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

LA Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs

The Clippers are coming off a disappointing last grasp loss to Miami after fighting back from a 25-point deficit in the final term.

Doc Rivers’ side now travels to San Antonio to face now of the best coached teams in the league – and they may be doing it without one of their star players.

Danilo Gallinari remains in doubt for this one, with the Italian forward leaving the court in his last outing with a┬áhip contusion. At the time of writing this he remains doubtful and we’d be surprised if he suits up for this one, which will mean a huge swing in favour of the Spurs.

Yes, San Antonio are still depleted without Tony Parker and LaMarcus Aldridge but they continue to show (especially on their home court) that they’re a formidable unit under Gregg Popovic.

Rudy Gay is turning into a key player for the Spurs while they play short-handed and they’re getting huge production from their bench, particularly in their last two games against the Hornets and Suns respectively.

The Spurs defence remains key in this matchup and the efforts of Aldridge and Pau Gasol are crucial in slowing down Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan under the basket.

The Clippers have covered the line just once in their last five games overall, while the Spurs are 4-1 in their last five against the spread on their home court. San Antonio has also covered the line in six of their last eight games following a straight up win.

Sharp money has come in quick on the Spurs and we are very much favouring the Vegas bettors here with our projections showing the home side covering almost 70% of the time here.

Tip: San Antonio Spurs -3.0 @ $1.89 (Crownbet)

Philadelphia 76ers @ Utah Jazz

The 76ers continue to impress behind the stellar of play of rookie sensation Ben Simmons.

While their playoff potential still remains up in the air one thing that can be said is that they pack a frightening one-two punch with Simmons and Joel Embiid on court – but what happens when Embiid doesn’t play?

Philadelphia’s starting Centre is set to be given a day’s rest and will not suit up for their road trip to Salt Lake City.

The Jazz return home after a brutal trip to Houston that saw them struggle to keep pace with a team that runs the floor as well as anyone in the league.

The 76ers try to deploy a similar brand of basketball but simply do not have the pieces to be anywhere near as combative against one of the best defence’s in the league.

The Jazz are currently allowing 100.1 points per game, which isn’t entirely reflective of their efficiency on that end of the court. At home, they’re a much more complete unit and are happy to slow the pace down and execute in the half court.

Stopping the 3-point shot is crucial to slowing down this 76ers offence, and with Embiid out their paint presence drops significantly allowing the defence to emphasise closing out shooters around the perimeter.

The Unders has chased in six of the last seven meetings between these two sides and we firmly expect that trend to continue against a team without one of their best players.

Our data has a strong lean on the Unders here, especially with the public driving this total up from it’s opening line. Barring a late switch up from the 76ers in allowing Embiid to play this number will drop before tip-off.

Tip: Under 205.0 @ $1.91 (Centrebet)

Punter Problems NBA multi:

San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5

$2.29

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