NBL Round 5: New Zealand Breaks v Adelaide 36ers

THE Breakers are sitting pretty atop the NBL and will be set for a tough test when they play host to the fast-playing 36ers.

Adelaide remain one of the highest scoring teams in the league, averaging 95.8 points per game so far this season.

The 36ers are shooting at 50% from the field – and are averaging 68.6 field goal attempts per game.

While the Breakers don’t rank in the top half of the league in points per game (currently ranked 5th with 87.4) they will be forced to adjust to the visitors tempo and willingness to break fast in transition.

Despite having no individual players ranking highly in points, rebounds or assists so far this season the chemistry on court between the Breakers players in certainly the envy of many teams across the league.

The New Zealand team currently accomodate for a large core of the Kiwi national team and that experience and understanding is coming to the fore for Paul Henare.

New 36ers import Josh Childress will have had some more time fitting into Joey Wright’s system and you’d imagine his length and versatility will be key to Adelaide implementing a faster, small ball line up.

Our data shows that these sides sit on opposing sides of the spectrum in terms of tempo and it will be key to deciding the outcome of this one.

We’re projecting the tempo to fall in favour of the visitors here, who will aggressively attack the paint early in the shot clock and look for easy buckets at the line along the way.

The points total is clearly reflective of bookies not being able to grasp just how this one will play out but given no team has shown genuine signs of slowing down this 36ers offence we can see this one skying well over the points total here.

Grab the number now while it’s still reasonably low as we look to cap off a strong day of punting.

Tip: Over 177.5 points @ $1.89 (1.5 units)

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