NCAA Football: Week 11

IT’S another big night of college football coming up and we’re ready to bounce back from last weekend’s disappointments.

Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Wisconsin Badgers @ Indiana Hoosiers

Wisconsin continue to roll towards a playoff spot after a perfect 8-0 start to the year.

The Badgers know what’s at stake in this meeting and despite being on the road they are being slightly undervalued at the line in this one.

Wisconsin’s ability to control the clock has been a big part of their success, especially when coupled with the tremendous ground game of Jonathan Taylor.

Taylor leads the Big 10 in rushing yards this season and while his TD streak was ended last week he’ll no doubt be ready for a big effort against the Hoosiers.

The Badgers also own one of the best third-down conversion rates in the country, and that ability to keep their drives alive is a big part of how they’ve built such moments heading toward the back end of the season.

Indiana’s defence has generated just two interceptions all season and if they can’t force the Badgers to turn the ball over this could turn into a very one-sided affair.

We certainly missed theist number (with the line opening as short as 9.5) but we have a strong lean on them covering the 12.5 currently in play. This number will almost certainly jump towards 14.0 by kick off and even then it’s still a playable line.

Wisconsin has covered the line in eight of their last nine games on the road, and are 4-0 against the spread in the past four meetings between these sides. Indiana meanwhile has failed to cover the line in their last seven conference games – a streak we expect to continue.

Get on the road team as they continue to roll toward a playoff spot.

Tip: Wisconsin Badgers -12.5 @ $1.90 (1.5 units)

Oregon Ducks @ Washington Huskies

The Huskies are desperate to end the season on a high and force themselves into contention for a playoff spot, and they’ll relish the chance to bounce back at home to Oregon.

The Ducks rank 99th in pass defence this season and we can’t see how they’re going to slow down Jake Browning.

The Huskies QB should enjoy a lot of success throwing long on this Oregon secondary presuming his O-Line can give him the time in the pocket to make the right plays.

Oregon currently allow 253.7 passing yards per game, which really doesn’t bode well when you’re on the road against a team that is more than happy to pick you apart with the pass game.

Meanwhile, Oregon’s offence is centred around their ground game – they currently average 256.1 yards per game rushing, but will have to contend with a defence that ranks second in the nation in defending the rush and allows just 73.0 yards per game.

The Huskies will turn up ready on their home turf and they’re 4-0 against the spread when facing a team with a winning record. Washington have also covered six of their last conference seven games, while the favourite has covered 15 of the last 21 games between these sides.

The line has dropped significantly since opening at 21.0 and we love where it’s at now – the Ducks have failed to cover the line in their last six games following a win against the spread.

This match up heavily favours the home side and we’re projecting a comfortable win for the Huskies in this one.

Tip: Washington Huskies -16.5 @ $1.90 (2 units)

UPDATE:

Baylor Bears @ Kansas Jayhawks

– Kansas Jayhawks +8.0 @ $1.90 (0.5 units)

Punter Problems NCAA Football multi:

Georgia State Panthers
New Mexico State Aggies
Wisconsin Badgers

$2.20 (1.5 units)

1 COMMENT

Leave a Reply