NCAA Football: Week 13

THE best way to turn around a losing streak is to lean on what you know best.

Let’s delve deep into some NCAA Football to help change our fortunes:

UCF Knights @ Temple Owls

Central Florida could be the most exciting team to watch in college football, and their high-paced offence should thrive on the road at Temple.

UCF remain unbeaten on the season, and while all eyes will be on their showdown with South Florida next week they’ll be focused on making sure they go into that match a perfect 10-0.

The Golden Knights currently average 538.7 yards per game on offence – ranking fifth in the nation on total offence – and are the nation’s leading point scorers at 48.6 points per game.

That doesn’t bode particularly well for a Temple defence that gives up almost 400 yards per game, however the Owls have shown improvements on offence in recent weeks.

The home side has won back-to-back games against Navy and Cincinnati respectively, scoring a combined 69 points in the process. While neither of those teams own particularly strong defensive units it should be noted that Temple are still averaging 31 points per game in their last five overall.

While the trends may point towards an Unders affair it’s hard to see how Temple can possibly slow down this UCF offence and they’ll do more than enough to drive this number over the points total.

The Owls are more than capable of scoring 17+ points in this one and as long as they do that we have strong belief that UCF will do the rest. Our projections show this one going Over the total almost 77% of the time, making this one of our favourite plays of the night.

Tip: Over 56.0 points @ $1.90 (1.5 units)

Iowa State Cyclones @ Baylor Bears

Iowa State still have plenty to play for to round out the regular season as they aim to sneak into a Big 12 title game.

Meanwhile, Baylor are in full-fledge rebuild mode and their season couldn’t finish soon enough in what’s been a hugely disappointing campaign overall.

Regardless of who lines up at QB for Iowa State the man at centre should take full confidence going up against the worst defensive team in the conference. The Bears currently allow 465 yards per game, including 294 years against the pass.

On the flip side, Baylor may have a QB who can throw for big yardage himself in Charlie Brewer but the team is heavily depleted of receivers at the moment with the likes of Chris Platt, R.J. Sneed, Pooh Stricklin and now Gavin Holmes all missing.

The fact the the Cyclones are not only playing better football, but are also far healthier means they’re great value at this current price.

The next big advantage for the road side comes on the ground, with RB David Montgomery currently second in the conference for most rushing yards and is only 64 yards away from reaching 1,000 on the season.

Rushing defence is another category that doesn’t make for great reading for Baylor, with the team ranked dead last again in the conference – allowing 195.3 yards per game.

There’s a lot to like about this Iowa State team at the moment, and after almost pulling off two big upsets against ranked opposition we expect them to come out and run over this Baylor team.

The line is at a very favourable place at the moment and we expect the number to grow by kick off. Almost 85% of public money in Vegas is on the Cyclones and it’s a rare occasion where both public and sharp money are aligned. Lay the points on the road team in this one.

Tip: Iowa State Cyclones -8.5 @ $1.89 (1.5 units)

Punter Problems NCAA Football multi:

UCF Knights
West Virginia Mountaineers
Old Dominion Monarchs

$2.43

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