NFL preview: Week 12

IT’S been a mixed weekend with the smallest of profits, so now it’s all eyes on tomorrow mornings NFL to kick off a new week.

Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

The last time these teams met we had an absolute shootout – everything suggest we’ll get more of the same in this one.

Colts QB Jacoby Brissett has been cleared to play and given what we’ve seen from him over the last few weeks he should hit the ground running against this Titans secondary.

Tennessee has seen its last three games all go Over the points total, taking them to 7-3 on the Overs for the season. A lot of that has come down to their inability to defend the pass, with the Titans allowing 241.2 yards per game through the air.

Brissett has thrown seven TD passes in his last five starts, and only given up two INT’s in that span. One of those games was a 22-36 loss in Tennessee.

Prior to their humiliation by Pittsburgh before their bye round, Tennessee had rattled off four straight wins, averaging 23.75 points in that span. They’re now facing a Colts defence that is allowing 24.5 points per game  in their last four home games.

Indy’s defence is allowing 6.2 yards per play defensively, and haven’t ranked well against the run or pass this season. They’re allowing opposing QB’s to complete over 60% of their pass attempts while conceding 13.1 yards per completion.

Expect both QB’s to have a field day throwing against their opposing defenders and push this one toward a similar total to what we saw when they face off last month.

The Overs has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these teams, while the Titans have seen 10 of their last 12 games against AFC South opponents go Over the total. Our projections have this one comfortably sailing Over with a combined 49.8 points being tipped here.

Tip: Over 45.5 points @ $1.91 (Centrebet)

Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders

We’re really not sure what to make of this line other than the fact the bookies think a divisional game will bring out the best in the Broncos.

Denver’s offence is pitiful to say the least, and now it’s up to third-string QB Paxton Lynch to try and spark some life into this sub-par team.

Yes, this is a series that has belonged to Denver in recent times but there’s only so much history you can rely on before you simply have to say the better team is being heavily undervalued.

The Raiders have been a far cry from the team many expected at the start of the season but there’s still reason to believe they’ll find form against a Broncos team that hasn’t done much right on either side of the ball this season.

A return home will be a welcome boost for Oakland, who are 2-2 at home this year. What’s better is they’ll welcome a team that is a horrendous 0-4 against the spread on their travels this season.

The issue for Denver is that things aren’t just bad on the field, with the team apparently in disarray off it ass well with fights at training, players not showing up to team meetings and players going to Vice President John Elway to verbally complain about the situation.

Regardless of how inconsistent Oakland have been this season it’s impossible to say with any confidence you like a Lynch led Broncos team to go on the road and cover a 4.5 spread.

There’s so much to dislike about Denver in this one that it’s an automatic play to go against them here. They’re 0-6 against the spread in their last six straight, while the favourite is a convincing 10-1 against the spread in the last 11 of this series.

Take the home side to pile more misery on a Denver team that has one eye on a good draft pick to finish the season.

Tip: Oakland Raiders -4.5 @ $1.91 (Ladbrokes)

Punter Problems NFL multi:

Cincinnati Bengals
Oakland Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5

$2.37 (1.5 units)

UPDATE:

Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles

Tip: Philadelphia Eagles -14.5 @ $1.92

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