THE halfway point of the season is here and we’re gearing up for a big second half of football.
Two teams who are unlikely to be playing beyond the regular season are the Ravens and Dolphins, who will do battle in Baltimore.
Miami hits the road without their starting QB Jay Cutler, which is never good news for a team ranked dead last in scoring offence.
While Matt Moore’s introduction off the bench last week helped spark come from behind win everyone knows its an all together different task getting the nod from the start.
Moore has a reputation for his willingness (often too much so) to throw deep, and given his team’s limited receiver options coupled with Baltimore’s strong secondary it could result in a few turnovers.
That’s something Joe Flacco won’t need to worry too much about when throwing against this Dolphins defence.
Miami have secured just two interceptions all season, which will give Flacco a much needed security blanket given his struggles in the pocket this season.
The Ravens currently rank 28th in total offence, with the team managing just 277.6 yards per game.
They also rank 23rd in the league in scoring – averaging just 18.8 points per game. The good news however is that scoring slightly above that average could be enough to cover the line in this one.
The line has opened and remained at 3.0 and we don’t expect any big money to swing it either way. But if we’re being offered almost 2-1 on the home side to cover a field goal we’ll definitely take those odds given our projections.
The Dolphins are 0-7 against the spread in the last seven meetings with Baltimore. We don’t see how Moore will provide a better platform for this offence over the course of a full game, and with the run game regressing this season they won’t cause much trouble for a Ravens team who does struggle with the run.
We’ve got the home side covering almost 67% of the time and with the odds on offer we feel it presents great value.
Tip: Baltimore Ravens -3.0 @ $1.96