WE’VE had a strong run at Roland Garros thus far and look to keep that going in the final week of action.
Pablo Carreno-Busta v Rafa Nadal
Nadal has been nothing shy of perfect so far at Roland Garros and will look to keep that going against his fellow Spaniard.
Busta has been valiant so far this tournament, and his hard fought wins over Grigor Dimitrov and Milos Raonic have certainly been well noted.
While the 25-year-old will certainly be a strong contender on clay for years to come he hasn’t quite got enough to trouble the undisputed King of Clay.
Nadal owns a 3-0 hd2hd record over his compatriot, including two prior meeting on clay – both of which were won in straight sets.
Despite a strong record against his opponent we are still leaning heavily on the Overs market in this one.
Our projections show this one coasting well above the 27.5 games on offer – despite our predictions that Nadal will in fact win in straight sets.
We’re picking 29-30 games total making the Over a strong play.
Prediction: Over 27.5 games @ $1.90
Dominic Thiem v Novak Djokovic
Thiem may be the the most likely candidate to trouble Rafa Nadal but he’ll need to overcome his own nemesis if he’s to get a chance to claim the throne.
Djokovic owns a formidable 5-0 record against his Austrian counterpart and that psychological edge will no doubt have a part to play in this one.
His 6-1, 6-0 destruction of Thiem in Rome a fortnight ago came as a huge surprise – especially after Thiem had just handed Nadal his first clay court loss of the season.
Thiem’s response this tournament has been remarkable, with the Austrian yet to drop a set.
After being given a scare by Diego Schwartzmann in the third round, Djokovic responded in typical fashion disposing of Ramos-Vinolas in convincing fashion.
Our projections are showing another win for Djokovic, who matches up favourably against the hard-hitting Thiem.
Our data has him covering the 3.5 handicap and we recommend you taking the same.
Prediction: Djokovic -3.5 @ $1.95