NBA best bets: Friday, 10 November

A tough day after some late withdrawals and additions tampered with our projections but no time to dwell.

Here’s a look at our best bets for the action ahead:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Houston Rockets

The Cavs remain one of the worst defensive teams in the league, so a trip to face a fast-paced offence in Houston should be a recipe for points.

Tyronn Lue’s side currently give up 113.9 points per game, with opponent’s being allowed to shoot at 48.5% from the field.

The biggest concern for the Cavs in this one is how easily the allow open looks on the perimeter. The team currently allows teams to shoot a whopping 41.9% from beyond the arc – something that does not bode well when taking on a team that loves to jack up shots from deep.

Houston are well-rested coming into this one after a three day break since their blowout win over the Jazz.

Mike D’Antoni’s team have finally started to click offensively with the team averaging 125 points per game during this three game win streak.

The Cavs have shown they can pile on the points as well when forced the match their opponent’s and that should be what drives this one well over the high points total.

Cleveland has since its last five straight games against Western conference opponents go Over the points total, and five of their last six on the road have also eclipsed the total.

Houston meanwhile have seen their last four straight go Overs. We expect these trends to ring true in an absolute shootout in Houston.

Tip: Over 228.5 points @ $1.96 (Sportsbet)

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Denver Nuggets

The Thunder look an absolute mess at the moment and there’s genuine reason for worry for Billy Donovan’s team.

Yes, it’s early in the season but this offence has some serious questions marks around it’s functionality – especially late in the fourth quarter.

Execution has been a big reason for the Thunder’s current slump and a trip to Denver isn’t necessarily the easiest place to find your rhythm.

Denver have enjoyed their four game home stand, with the team going 3-1 heading into their final home game before hitting the road.

This however will prove their toughest match up during that stretch given OKC’s ability to halt their opponent’s offence regardless of what they’re doing on the other end of the court.

Steven Adams has proven a big contributor for the Thunder already this season and his matchup with Nikola Jokic in the paint will be key to either side getting the edge in this one.

The visitors know they’ll need to lean on their defence in order to get their offence going again and we expect that to be the focus heading into this one.

The Unders has been a cash cow when being on the Thunder this season – especially on the road. Their last four straight road games have all gone Under the points total, while the team has seen their last four games versus teams with a winning record also stay Under the total.

The Nuggets have also gone Under the total in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record and own an Unders record of 7-1 in their last eight games against the West.

Tip: Under 215.5 points @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)


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