OUR NFL tips have been fire lately and we’re ready to round off a huge weekend with some winners.
Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints have finally found a defence that can match their potent offence.
New Orleans are arguably the most improved defensive unit in the league and have allowed just 170 passing yards per game over the last three weeks.
There getting stops early in the possession and forcing turnovers at a far higher rate than we’re use to seeing from this side – opposing QB’s are earning and average QB rating of just 77.0 when taking on the Saints this season.
This doesn’t bode well for a Buccaneers team that has had a less than healthy Jameis Winston at the helm in recent weeks. Winston has practiced three days this week however, which is a welcome boost for the visitors.
Drew Brees might not be putting up the superhuman numbers we’ve seen from him in seasons gone but his 100.9 QB rating is reflective of the consistent play we’ve seen form him week in, week out.
The Saints know they need keep momentum going and should be taking advantage of a Buccaneers team that has yet to cover the line on the road this season.
New Orleans meanwhile have covered the line in all five of their wins and should make it six straight against a team that has not covered in their last six straight games overall. Tampa Bay have also gone 0-4 against the spread in their last four games against NFC opponents.
The Saints have covered the line in eight of their last nine games against teams with a losing record, and are 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 games against the NFC South.
Take the line while it’s under a TD as the Saints juggernaut rolls on at home.
Tip: New Orleans Saints -6.5 @ $1.92
Cincinnati Bengals @ Jacksonville Jaguars
There’s a lot to like about this line, especially since public money has forced this number into a very favourable position for us.
The Jags have certainly been riding high in recent weeks, but they’re now coming up against a team that owns the best red-zone defence in the league in what is virtually a playoff elimination game.
The Bengals are allowing just 33% of their opponents red-zone visits to end in a TD and if that’s the calibre of defence that will be shown to Blake Bortles we’ll take the defence every night of the week.
After a slow start to the year the Bengals have won three of their last four and are showing enough on both sides of the ball to once again establish themselves as genuine playoff contenders.
While their last gasp win over the Colts last week was far from convincing this team is far better placed when entering as underdogs – especially on the road.
Jacksonville meanwhile haven’t enjoyed much home success this year, going 0-2 and failing to cover the line on both occasions.
Their record against the Bengals isn’t much better, and the team is 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record – they’re also 2-6 against the spread in their last eight home games overall.
Cincinnati meanwhile have covered the line in four of their last five road games and are 4-0-1 in covering the spread in the past five meetings between these two sides. They failed to cover just once in their last five trips to Jacksonville.
Sharp money will likely drive this number back down towards it’s opening total of 3.5 so we advise getting the best number you can find before the bookies catch on to the trend.
Tip: Cincinnati Bengals +6.0 @ $2.00 (1.5 units)
Punter Problems NFL multi:
New Orleans Saints
Cincinnati Bengals +14.5
Oakland Raiders +6.5
$2.02 (1.5 units)