NRL Round 5: St George Dragons v Canterbury Bulldogs

THE Bulldogs will hope to show the same energy and intensity as they did last week when they take on the Dragons at Jubilee Oval.

Dean Pay’s men have a terrific record against the Dragons and they’ll need to be at their best if they’re to knock over a Dragons side that continues to find ways to get it done.

The return of Tyson Frizell into the starting 13 for the home side is a massive boost and their forwards should have no problems chewing through metres against a Dogs middle that remains susceptible to say the least.

Canterbury’s defence continues to be a worry and the team ranks 14th in the league in points allowed per set (0.64); although the Dragons are hardly much better, ranking 11th and allowing 0.56 points per set defended.

With the Dragons sitting second in the competition in tackle breaks, and leading the competition in decoy runs, the visitors are going to have a tough time stopping the home side getting points on the board and attacking their line.

Meanwhile, the Dogs continue to lead the competition in completion rate and their discipline with the footy should see them get plenty of chances as well – particularly when you factor in the slow line speed the Dragons play with on defence.

Pay’s outfit also sit atop the offload chart and second phase play has proven to be a successful plan against this Dragons defence so far this season.

The market has begun to push the Overs total and we’re locking this in now before it does push toward 39.0/39.5 points. Our data has both sides scoring well and if we get some early points in the first half then we’ll clear this total with ease given how both sides defend in the second 40 minutes.

RLE Stats & Trends

  • Dogs enjoy visiting St George: In their last six away games with the Dragons, the Bulldogs have averaged 30.17 points per game. The combined total in those outings was 45.67 points per game.
  • Dragons fire at home under McGregor: The Dragons have averaged 21.97 points per game in home games under the tutelage of Paul McGregor. The combined total average is 40.61 points per game.
  • Easy metres on offer: Both these sides rank in the bottom three in line speed. The Dragons are dead-last, allowing 6.86 metres before contact while the Dogs rank 14th and give up 6.74 metres before contact.

Tip: Over 38.5 points @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)