THE playoffs have arrived and we’re set for an intriguing opening day as the Minnesota Twins head to the Bronx to face off against the Yankees.
Money is leaning heavily on the home side in the series opener as Luis Severino prepares to take to the mound for the Yankees.
Severino has earned his spot in the line up and is in strong form of late – going 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA in his last 14 starts.
His sole appearances against the Twins however wasn’t as memorable, with the right-hander lasting just three innings after allowing three runs to start the game.
Opposing him will be Twins ace Ervin Santana, who went 16-8 on the year with a 3.28 ERA. In his last 12 starts, the right-hander went 5-1 with that loss being in New York against the Yankees.
He gave up two runs and seven hits that day, which is better than his usual career numbers against the Yankees.
In 20 regular season starts against his opponents he is 6-10 with a 5.66 ERA to match.
Santana’s postseason numbers aren’t exactly anything to write home about either, with his 2-2 record and 5.56 ERA coming off eight appearances – two of those were starts.
It’s tough to gauge exactly how these two young sides will react to an unexpected postseason appearance but it’s tough to go against a Yankees side that has won 21 of their last 30 overall.
The Twins have lost all three games this season when priced at $3.00 or higher and we expect them to struggle once again in this one.
Our projections show the Yankees winning by 2.9 runs giving us a good price on the line betting here. We have a slight lean on the Unders as well and will play it for a smaller stake.
Tip: New York Yankees -1.5 @ $1.90 & Under 7.5 runs @ $1.91 (0.5 units)